In this current era of theatrical earnings uncertainty with dwindling audience attendance AND with a lot of people questioning Amazon’s ability to successfully continue the James Bond brand for even ONE film, it makes the most sense to play it safe and go for the surest thing this casting time around. Yes, taking a risk and getting it right might make you more money, but if it’s wrong, you’re going to crash and burn and take any good will you may have had with you right into the ground.
So the surest James Bond casting option is Henry Cavill. He’s a previous runner-up, he’s long been assumed as the heir in waiting, the public want (and love him), and he seems to be a pretty good dude who is also a fan of the series and would be a good ambassador for the powers that be. The last time the 007 series was in a similar situation was in 1995 after a six-year hiatus and people were wondering if James Bond was still relevant. At that time, the consensus number one candidate was Pierce Brosnan who ticked off ALL the same boxes Cavill does now. And what do you know? He turned out pretty well becoming the first billion-dollar Bond.
Judging by Amazon’s Who Should Be James Bond poll from three days ago, Cavill is the far and away winner of the poll with over 54% of the vote by HIMSELF. The next closest is Idris Elba at 17.4% That is a HUGE gap. Granted, that is just X/Twitter people, but that is a sizable chunk, and I wouldn’t doubt the rest of the general public would also have him as their top choice (though probably not at 54%, but who knows?)
Anyway, Amazon could do A LOT worse than Cavill. He looks like James Bond and men seem to like him and women absolutely love him. And with the seemingly large public backing of him via that poll, and comments elsewhere, if Amazon ended up not casting Cavill, I could see that potentially adversely affecting their bottom line with some of those same people protesting Amazon’s decision by NOT going to see the new Bond film because Cavill is not in it. Hardcore fans would go regardless, but we don’t make up the majority of the butts in seats.
At 43/44 Cavill would not be too old (between Brosnan and Roger Moore when they started), is in great shape, and still looks good. He can easily do four films in a three-year span before hanging up the holster–or more if the gap between films is shorter.
The saying goes, you only get one chance to make a first impression. For Amazon’s James Bond future, it doesn’t get any bigger than this. Make the right choice and you’ve earned yourself some good will that could go a long way in starting your 007 legacy. Make the wrong choice and you’re running in mud that’s dangerously looking like quicksand.
So, the safest–and, yes, BEST–option for Amazon right now is to go with Henry Cavill as the next James Bond 007.