I’m just following the presser with Johnson, Whitty & Vallance. One excerpt from the coverage:
Johnson says the UK has the highest proportion of the population vaccinated of any country in Europe, apart from Malta.
He says the government must decide whether it is safe to open up.
If it does not open up now, he says it might be worse opening up later, when the autumn is getting closer.
Another:
Boris Johnson starts by saying what life will be like if we move to step 4 of the roadmap. The final decision will be taken on 12 July, he says.
He says “we”, but he means England.
Case are rising rapidly, he says. They could reach 50,000 per day by 19 July.
And one more:
You have said more people will get Covid and will die? How bad could it get?
Johnson says they have to be cautious. But they always said opening up would lead to more cases and more deaths.
If they do not go ahead now, when the “summer firebreak” is coming up - the school holidays and other advantages from the summer - then when will you go ahead? The virus has “an edge” in the colder months, he says.
Alternatively, you would have to postpone opening up until next year.
This is interesting for various reasons. The British government intends to make COVID-19 a private risk you take - or refuse to take - at your own discretion. The emphasis is shifting from a public - even global - crisis to one society* is involved with at a distance. Vaguely. People are called to use their own judgement - and if it blows up in society’s face it’s evidently people’s own fault.
That’s certainly an approach worth discussing. The obvious upside is that, with time, the entire blame for failures, misjudgments and effups lands in our own laps. Convenient. The downside is that not everybody is free to use their own judgement as to what risks to take and avoid. The enormous number of victims especially in the UK is at least partially a result of people not having the support and social security to allow them to isolate - or even get tested.
Be that as it may, the main takeaway is that 50.000 cases per day are now considered worth having in exchange for opening up. How that translates to hospital admissions and serious cases is anybody’s guess for now. But the real gift that keeps on giving are going to be possible variants resulting from that move.
No idea how that turns out.
*Society: that elusive concept that, according to the great British philosopher Margaret Thatcher (and supported by that other titan of philosophy, the Financial Times) doesn’t exist.